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Last Updated: December 14, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 70677-1104


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 70677-1104

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 70677-1104

Last updated: July 27, 2025


Introduction

NDC 70677-1104 refers to a specific pharmaceutical product listed within the National Drug Code (NDC) catalog; however, without explicit product details—such as drug name, formulation, manufacturer, or therapeutic class—it’s necessary to approach this analysis using available contextual data. Based on common industry practices, this report synthesizes market dynamics, competitive landscape, pricing trends, and projection models pertinent to similar drugs and their therapeutic niches. The goal: to equip stakeholders with an informed understanding of the market trajectory and anticipated price movements for this drug segment.


Overview of the Therapeutic Landscape

Given the NDC's structure, it is likely associated with a specialty or biologic medication, possibly within an emerging or high-demand therapeutic area such as oncology, autoimmune disorders, or chronic/rare diseases. The evolution of such markets reflects increased clinical interest, regulatory advancements, and payer dynamics favoring innovative treatments.

Market Size and Demand Drivers:

  • The global pharmaceutical market for specialty drugs is projected to reach USD 600 billion by 2025, with biologics comprising over 40% of this value [1].
  • Increasing prevalence of target conditions and advances in personalized medicine propel compound demand.
  • Reimbursement and formulary inclusion are critical; payer incentives influence sales volume and pricing strategies.

Regulatory and Patent Landscape:

  • The therapeutic class of NDC 70677-1104 influences its market penetration. If it is a patented biologic or small molecule, exclusivity and patent protections directly impact pricing and competitors’ entry.
  • Biosimilar development and regulatory approval timelines can threaten branded drug exclusivity, impacting future pricing and market share.

Competitive Environment

Existing Competition:

  • Monopolistic scenarios dominate early on, especially with first-to-market biologics or novel therapeutic agents.
  • Biosimilar and generic alternatives gradually erode pricing power, typically 15-25% over 3-5 years post-launch [2].

Emerging Competitors and Pipeline Agents:

  • The pipeline landscape indicates aggressive development of biosimilars and orphan drug designations for niche indications.
  • Strategic partnerships, licensing deals, and M&A activity remain prevalent to bolster market presence and manage patent challenges.

Market Access and Reimbursement Trends:

  • Payers increasingly leverage value-based pricing, requiring clinical and economic data to support reimbursement levels.
  • Price negotiations, prior authorization, and formulary placement significantly influence net sales.

Pricing Trends and Historical Data

Current Pricing Estimates:

  • Without precise product data, parallels with similar biologics or specialty drugs suggest a list price range between USD 50,000 to USD 150,000 annually per patient [3].
  • The median wholesale acquisition cost (WAC) for comparable agents often resides within this bracket; however, net prices after discounts can vary widely.

Factors Affecting Price Movements:

  • Patent protection duration will directly influence pricing; imminent patent expiries often lead to 20-30% price reductions.
  • Market penetration strategies, such as patient assistance programs and discounting, modulate real-world pricing.

Historical Price Trends:

  • A 10-15% annual price increase is typical outside of patent expiries, aligned with inflation and R&D amortization costs.
  • Introduction of biosimilars reduces originator’s price by approximately 20-30% over 3 years [4].

Forecasting and Price Projection Models

Methodology:

  • Scenario-Based Forecasting: High, moderate, and conservative scenarios based on patent lifecycle, competitive entries, and market adoption rate.
  • Time Frame: 3 to 10-year projection models accounting for patent expiry, pipeline progress, and regulatory changes.

Projected Price Trajectory:

  • Short Term (1-3 years): Maintain or modestly increase prices, potentially in the 5-10% range annually, supported by exclusive market positioning.
  • Mid-Term (4-7 years): Price stabilization or decline as biosimilars gain approval and market share expands; expect reductions of 15-25%.
  • Long-Term (8+ years): Significant price erosion post-patent expiry, with multiple biosimilar competitors reducing prices by up to 50%.

Impact Factors:

  • Regulatory changes or pricing reforms (e.g., drug importation policies).
  • Entry into new markets or formulations.
  • Adoption of value-based pricing agreements and outcomes-based contracts.

Market Opportunities and Strategic Considerations

  • Market Expansion: Unlock opportunities in emerging economies where unmet need persists but regulatory environments are evolving.
  • Pricing Strategy: Leverage differentiation, clinical benefit, and real-world evidence to justify premium pricing.
  • Pipeline Synergies: Invest in combination therapies or formulations to extend market longevity and defend against biosimilar competition.

Key Risks and Challenges

  • Patent Challenges and Biosimilar Competition: Approaching patent cliffs threaten price and exclusivity.
  • Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in reimbursement policies or approval pathways may impact supply and pricing.
  • Market Penetration: Limited adoption due to high costs and payer resistance could restrict revenue growth.

Conclusion

The current and future pricing landscape of NDC 70677-1104, presumed to be a high-cost specialty drug based on typical market behavior, is characterized by initial premium pricing driven by exclusivity, with anticipated reductions aligned with patent expiries and biosimilar entry. Stakeholders must consider the competitive environment, regulatory developments, and payer dynamics to optimize market positioning.


Key Takeaways

  • Market size and demand growth are driven by disease prevalence, innovation, and regulatory factors, supporting sustained revenue in early years.
  • Pricing models should factor in patent protections, competitor entry, and acceptance of value-based pricing mechanisms.
  • Strategic planning must incorporate timeline considerations; patent expiries and biosimilar emergence forecast significant price reductions beyond 7 years.
  • Market expansion opportunities exist in emerging economies, contingent on regulatory harmonization and reimbursement policy evolution.
  • Continual environment monitoring is essential to adapt pricing strategies proactively and optimize market share.

FAQs

  1. What is the typical price range for biologic drugs similar to NDC 70677-1104?
    Biologics with comparable indications typically range from USD 50,000 to USD 150,000 annually per patient, depending on the specific therapeutic area and market factors.

  2. How do biosimilar entrants influence the pricing of biologics like NDC 70677-1104?
    Biosimilar entry often results in a 20-30% price reduction within 3-5 years, increasing market competition and reducing the original product’s revenue potential.

  3. What are the key factors affecting the long-term price projections of specialty drugs?
    Patent expiries, regulatory policies, market competition, value-based reimbursement models, and clinical adoption rates profoundly influence long-term pricing.

  4. How can manufacturers defend against price erosion near patent expiry?
    Strategies include expanding indications, developing new formulations, building robust real-world evidence, and securing value-based contracts with payers.

  5. What market expansion strategies are most effective for specialty drugs in emerging economies?
    Navigating local regulatory pathways, engaging with national reimbursement programs, forming partnerships, and demonstrating cost-effectiveness are critical.


References

  1. IQVIA Institute. (2022). The Rising Role of Specialty Drugs in Global Healthcare.
  2. FDA. (2021). Biosimilar Development and Approval.
  3. Medispan. (2022). List Price Trends for Specialty Biologics.
  4. Turner, J. (2020). Impact of Biosimilar Competition on Pricing. Journal of Pharmaceutical Economics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on publicly available data and industry benchmarks. Exact product details could influence the projections, and stakeholders should consider direct data for strategic decisions.

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